Elegant-Hospitalisation
0xca6b93ad9ec941ec69ff9fc7a97859a9a442ff01
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-239.60
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- CABO VERDE
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
749 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-62.62
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
77 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-76.23
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
77 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-76.23
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
77 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-76.23
- UP
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
72 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-71.28
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
50 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
50 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- UP
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
50 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
47 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-46.37
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
47 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-46.53
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?$1.27Jul 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 23?$1.25Jul 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 23?$20.06Jul 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 23?$2.44Jul 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 24?$1.90Jul 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?$1.58Jul 23, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 23?$7.23Jul 22, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 24?$1.53Jul 22, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 23?$14.58Jul 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 23?$1.25Jul 22, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 23?$2.56Jul 22, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$47.00Jul 21, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$46.56Jul 21, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$47.00Jul 21, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$47.00Jul 21, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$46.56Jul 21, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$46.56Jul 21, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$47.00Jul 21, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$47.00Jul 21, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$47.00Jul 21, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $29.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.