Constant-Administrator
0xca766b3e221661a794f733930f2016f3de7cda8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$12.48
Total PnL
$-4.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.70
$2.70
- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.03
$2.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 18?
1 shares @ 68.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$1.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?
220 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jara win by at least 15%?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?
155 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?$1.00Nov 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 18?$1.00Nov 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 18?$1.00Nov 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 15?$1.00Nov 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$1.00Nov 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Nov 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jara win by at least 15%?$1.00Nov 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Nov 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Nov 17, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.00Nov 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?$1.00Nov 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$1.00Nov 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Nov 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Nov 17, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Nov 17, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".