Venerated-Blame
0xca78644846aaafc79bb2e07988a87c26285eb3a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.6K
Realised
$-236.91
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- TESLA
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?
4975 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-149.12
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?
4613 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-361.51
- NO
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of July?
4456 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-709.99
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in July?
3498 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-194.99
- 4IKIBAMBONI
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner
2943 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $460 in July?
2469 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-349.93
- NO
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of July?
2108 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- KOLESIE
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage
1809 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-768.35
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
1300 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-236.33
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
1230 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-246.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$435.43Jul 31, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$345.44Jul 31, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner$358.05Jul 31, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$704.56Jul 31, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?$66.04Jul 29, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $460 in July?$103.18Jul 29, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in July?$102.70Jul 29, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $212 Week of July 27 2026?$101.96Jul 29, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $204 Week of July 27 2026?$102.95Jul 29, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 Week of July 27 2026?$51.31Jul 29, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of July?$30.00Jul 29, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in July?$102.61Jul 29, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in July?$61.49Jul 29, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $480 end of July?$20.00Jul 29, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $500 end of July?$20.00Jul 29, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $192 in July?$103.56Jul 29, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in July?$102.24Jul 29, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $460 in July?$258.71Jul 29, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$279.13Jul 25, 12:20 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.02Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $270.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.