Likely-Civilisation
0xca8523d2baa52b608def21554c7cd635eb220f4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$22.10
Total PnL
$-47.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.04
$0.05
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.04
$0.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.02
$0.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.01
$0.02
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.00
$0.01
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET$5.00May 19, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.00May 19, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.00May 19, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$5.00May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET$5.00May 19, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.03May 19, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.04May 19, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.04May 19, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.04May 19, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET$1.99May 19, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.00May 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.00May 19, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.00May 19, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.00May 18, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.04May 18, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.04May 18, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.04May 18, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.04May 18, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.04May 18, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.09May 18, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".