Amusing-Runaway
0xca866e77362de428bcdda368a83808905b87911d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
4720 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?
3803 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-792.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?
3074 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-304.19
- NO
Hyperliquid all time high before August?
1430 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-711.58
- NO
Bitcoin all time high before October?
890 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-130.80
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by July 11?
423 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Bitcoin all time high before August?
119 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.04
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
81 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.74
- NO
Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025?
70 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.05
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$4.1KNov 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.5KNov 21, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$220.32Nov 14, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$96.00Nov 14, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$4.80Nov 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$2.9KNov 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$78.91Nov 13, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.3KNov 12, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$149.00Nov 12, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$200.00Nov 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.2KNov 12, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$9.9KNov 12, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $55.35Nov 12, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$144.98Nov 12, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$10.9KNov 12, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$301.42Nov 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.38Nov 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$78.30Nov 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$78.30Nov 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$6.61Nov 1, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 15:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".