Writhing-Thirst
0xca8a44384a7685b0b7d8550a7a5efc9b59e8f9e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-139.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
1798 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
713 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
382 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by January 31?
332 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.47
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
224 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$0.00Jan 26, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$0.00Jan 26, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?$14.40Jan 25, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?$10.00Jan 25, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$5.00Jan 25, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$5.00Jan 25, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$5.00Jan 25, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$5.00Jan 25, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in January 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 16-17°F on January 24?$0.00Jan 25, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$0.00Jan 25, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on January 23, 2026?$0.00Jan 25, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$0.00Jan 25, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 16m?$0.00Jan 25, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?$0.00Jan 25, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 24?$0.00Jan 25, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike another country before 2027?$0.00Jan 25, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 24?$0.00Jan 25, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C or higher on January 26?$3.00Jan 25, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.