Oily-Omission
0xca8a5df17a80165c5035cb1424e6b45f1a45de2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-298.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
1003 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?
920 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the April decision?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?
498 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
479 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
328 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?
260 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?
244 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the April decision?
242 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
182 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the March meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$97.19Mar 21, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$131.43Mar 21, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$88.53Mar 18, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$127.50Mar 18, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$4.50Mar 4, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?$25.00Mar 4, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the February Meeting?$0.00Mar 4, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?$0.00Feb 28, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$17.87Feb 25, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $16.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.