Likely-Corporation
0xca8b9717215293e150c8a52a3cd158e2aa80692b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.8K
Realised
$259.45
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
27777 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-249.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
4504 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-511.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
3110 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-753.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
2951 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
2395 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-119.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
2271 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
2131 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-984.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
2061 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-984.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
1957 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-798.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
1772 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-774.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$64.39Mar 8, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$250.00Mar 8, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$250.00Mar 8, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$250.00Mar 8, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.51Mar 8, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.00Mar 8, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$20.00Mar 8, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.72Mar 8, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$25.00Mar 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $164.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".