Well-Made-Connection
0xca8c4e66bd49158b26b1fd323d78cfb80776f98a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
102
Open notional
$253.02
Total PnL
$-273.14
Realised
$4.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
158 shares @ 59.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$152.14
$59.14
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
154 shares @ 46.0¢·now 65.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.88
$29.88
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
68 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 6PM ET
48 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.25
- SLOVAKIA
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
23 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
17 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
15 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?$11.11Jun 4, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$11.15Jun 4, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$71.00Apr 27, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$43.92Apr 27, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$14.04Apr 27, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$10.05Apr 27, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$100.00Apr 13, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$28.24Apr 5, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$20.00Apr 4, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 4, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$10.00Apr 4, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$30.00Apr 1, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$12.50Apr 1, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$17.05Apr 1, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$20.62Apr 1, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$27.78Apr 1, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$33.33Apr 1, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$10.90Apr 1, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$2.67Mar 29, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?$0.00Mar 27, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $17.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".