Some-Expectancy
0xca8eb6d49afc1da4b598b259a88001ecacc4fbac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-393.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?
1962 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-313.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16?
516 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-41.29
- YES
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-15?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
81 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-15?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Georgia vs. Spain end in a draw?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
29 shares @ 73.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-21.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$52.87Jan 26, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$50.37Jan 23, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$4.95Jan 23, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$13.60Jan 23, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$31.83Jan 23, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$53.58Jan 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$12.92Jan 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$24.29Jan 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$13.96Jan 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$2.40Jan 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$104.92Jan 22, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$28.07Jan 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$19.67Jan 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$1.38Jan 22, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$20.77Jan 22, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$35.04Jan 22, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$49.63Jan 20, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$50.00Jan 20, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$2.99Jan 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$2.00Jan 20, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $54.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 10:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".