Lost-Belligerency
0xca8f7581fb1c0c365c705b2b1c1d7ae405f22858
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$174.38
Total PnL
$-574.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
100 shares @ 36.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$100.05
$63.93
- NO
Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?
198 shares @ 47.0¢·now 37.6¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$74.32
$-18.58
- ALIASSIME
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime
350 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?
250 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
250 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-62.50
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Aitana Bonmatí win the 2025 Women’s Ballon d’Or?
150 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Pacers
125 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-100.95
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
120 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.16
- YES
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the Tour de France 2025?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?$42.22Jun 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?$2.66Jun 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?$4.43Jun 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?$4.39Jun 3, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?$39.21Jun 3, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$5.25May 28, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$2.55May 28, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$11.59May 28, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$17.02May 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$1.67May 27, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$1.67May 27, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$1.25May 27, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$4.25May 27, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$2.00May 27, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$2.25May 27, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$7.50May 27, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$5.50May 27, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$6.12May 25, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$30.57May 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pacers$100.95Nov 1, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $32.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".