Easy-Counselling
0xcaa1e11722ec963c42749f080d63ac0f8fffa961
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-528.11
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?
1655 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-150.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?
1429 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-129.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 10?
1016 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-92.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 8?
980 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-89.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 9?
960 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-87.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 9?
960 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-87.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 9?
960 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-87.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?
960 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-87.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 8?
486 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-44.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 8?
204 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?$85.00May 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 15?$0.44May 15, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?$0.08May 14, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?$0.00May 14, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 15?$0.24May 14, 07:44 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?$85.00May 14, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on May 15?$84.92May 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?$0.02May 14, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?$0.10May 14, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?$0.00May 14, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?$79.92May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 14?$0.16May 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 14?$0.08May 14, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?$2.35May 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 14?$0.15May 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?$0.74May 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 14?$0.08May 13, 13:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 14?$80.00May 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 14?$78.94May 13, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?$79.96May 13, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 23:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.