Enchanted-Kennel
0xcaa6b10595777f7edafe5d89ba960171e813d3fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$110.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
60 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.00
$0.06
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
50 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$50.00
$1.90
- NO
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-26?
2500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-275.00
- NO
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?
1700 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-357.00
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Reds
1000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- CARDINALS
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
800 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-376.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
160 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
150 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on September 3?
120 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$59.94Jun 27, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$48.17Jun 5, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 5, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$99.04May 13, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$80.00May 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$72.00Apr 15, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 15, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.40Mar 24, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$9.00Mar 24, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$2.68Mar 14, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$96.60Feb 23, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$60.00Feb 23, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$52.20Jan 26, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$55.00Jan 26, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$9.90Jan 10, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMCanucks vs. Avalanche$450.00Dec 3, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 56°F or higher on December 2?$2.0KDec 3, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanucks vs. Avalanche$337.50Dec 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 56°F or higher on December 2?$2.0KDec 2, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on December 1?$2.3KDec 2, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $291.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.