0xcaaa73cdc63125b5fc1724ccc6bd2df42706509e
0xcaaa73cdc63125b5fc1724ccc6bd2df42706509e
Wallet digest
Activity score
22/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
169
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-922.99
Realised
$-136.99
Win rate
17%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 27?
3685 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-130.64
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?
2515 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-23.74
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?
1188 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-35.09
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
24 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.57
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
23 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 26?
14 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
14 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
12 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$4.61Jul 1, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jul 1, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jul 1, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jul 1, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 3, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 3, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 2, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
69/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 83 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
83 closed markets, 17% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.