Exemplary-Beard
0xcaacd7eca664baf5fe9f4bb683c5f5a3cf5aa988
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.51
Total PnL
$-227.47
Realised
$-1.47
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 10?
2320 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 11?
2320 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11?
1547 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 16?
488 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
350 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
204 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?$2.00Apr 12, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.51Apr 12, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.00Apr 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.72Apr 12, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.45Apr 12, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$6.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.52Apr 11, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.00Apr 10, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$3.00Apr 10, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.00Apr 10, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.00Apr 10, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.00Apr 10, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Apr 10, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.00Apr 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.00Apr 10, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.00Apr 10, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$9.54Apr 10, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.