Miniature-Highrise
0xcaaed7514f45cb1a50ee3d69d5c81d4f100e6e91
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$110.23
Total PnL
$-5.39
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 3?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$4.70
$1.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.95
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 4?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$3.93
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.92
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.84
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.78
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.78
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.75
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.72
$0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.69
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?$1.56Jul 3, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?$1.56Jul 3, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 5?$3.72Jul 3, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?$3.41Jul 3, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?$0.39Jul 3, 19:31 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?$4.17Jul 3, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?$0.39Jul 3, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?$0.39Jul 3, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?$0.39Jul 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?$3.72Jul 3, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 5?$2.08Jul 3, 19:22 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 5?$6.00Jul 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 5?$1.80Jul 3, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?$2.33Jul 3, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 4?$3.47Jul 3, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?$2.57Jul 3, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 5?$3.72Jul 3, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 5?$2.08Jul 3, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 5?$3.72Jul 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 5?$3.72Jul 3, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.