Jumpy-Lamp
0xcab15db2b87583cd45a6d9b48fc1e95efd2ab005
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$133.99
Total PnL
$122.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
134 shares @ 0.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$133.99
$132.99
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
27 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next James Bond be British?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMGTA 6 launch postponed?$2.04Nov 10, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?$6.67Nov 10, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-06?$0.00Nov 7, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$1.00Nov 5, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?$1.00Nov 5, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-06?$1.00Nov 5, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next James Bond be British?$1.00Nov 5, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 10 above $115?$1.00Nov 5, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb dip to $104 in November?$1.00Nov 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Nov 5, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$1.00Nov 4, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed?$1.00Nov 4, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".