Infinite-Error
0xcab2be97d1bbd8ad4fedac3d7c63b79d5f49651c
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$125.21
Total PnL
$-91.80
Realised
$-17.22
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
426 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.21
$3.21
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
236 shares @ 10.6¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
445 shares @ 4.3¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.03
$3.03
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.13
$-2.88
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
73 shares @ 13.7¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 United States?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-24?$5.11Jun 24, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$10.21Jun 24, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$10.71Jun 24, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$10.12Jun 24, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$7.46Jun 24, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$3.45Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 2 Ghana?$1.03Jun 23, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Uzbekistan?$0.78Jun 23, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$5.04Jun 23, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$5.05Jun 23, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$5.05Jun 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?$0.49Jun 23, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?$1.03Jun 23, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$46.13Jun 23, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.17Jun 23, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.02Jun 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?$3.88Jun 23, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Uzbekistan?$1.03Jun 23, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?$5.14Jun 23, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.