Minty-Convention
0xcab624b64c0936b91952ffab30c3fc9079156bfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.63
Total PnL
$-2.44
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
1 shares @ 80.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.29
$0.25
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.09
$0.00
- NO
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 7?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will the match not air?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on December 14?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-0.58
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 5 - January 11 be less than 13,750,000?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$3.91Jul 6, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$5.00Jul 6, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?$5.03Jul 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$1.05Jul 6, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?$6.10Jul 6, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 7?$6.91Jul 6, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match not air?$1.00Jul 6, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 7?$8.00Jul 6, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?$8.98Jul 6, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.00Jul 6, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?$10.00Jul 6, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.02Jun 25, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?$1.05Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?$1.06Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of June 1 2026?$1.07Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.07Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ran To Atlanta - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?$1.08Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?$4.99Jun 5, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?$6.06Jun 5, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?$6.04Jun 5, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.