Plump-Desire
0xcab723402861e493728ff9069ae4e1e05f5ca279
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$1.24
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?$1.18Feb 4, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next UK election be called by March 31?$1.19Feb 4, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by March 31?$1.20Jan 23, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBoeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?$1.18Jan 23, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?$1.20Jan 22, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.60Jan 9, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLTrudeau no confidence motion passes before April?$6.78Jan 9, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?$34.92Jan 9, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau no confidence motion passes before April?$6.80Jan 9, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?$35.00Jan 9, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$40.12Jan 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$2.00Jan 8, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$40.00Jan 8, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?$21.05Jan 8, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?$21.92Jan 8, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?$21.10Jan 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?$22.00Jan 8, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $15.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.