Exotic-Submarine
0xcabf87f149f758472349bd691fea63d1532f4e17
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-82.57
Win rate
42%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
2037 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5PM ET
404 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-185.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-200.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11PM ET
248 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-136.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10PM ET
227 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-122.58
- YES
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-27?
219 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-98.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8AM ET
200 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-103.09
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?
124 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-79.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9AM ET
110 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9PM ET
108 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-58.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-27?$100.00Apr 27, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?$116.93Apr 27, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?$49.98Apr 26, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-18?$90.78Apr 20, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-18?$65.02Apr 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$20.00Apr 15, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?$80.00Apr 15, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)$50.60Apr 12, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$182.63Apr 8, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$100.00Apr 7, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMTrabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5$38.64Apr 5, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5$25.00Apr 4, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$233.44Apr 1, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$118.50Mar 31, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.60Mar 21, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.35Mar 21, 15:04 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$20.00Mar 15, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.00Mar 15, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.25Mar 15, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.75Mar 15, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $32.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 14:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".