Worse-Mushroom
0xcac0f98ea4443a82f795c255a933bade2ec7c5ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$202.72
Total PnL
$3.61
Realised
$2.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
133 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.34
$-0.67
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
33 shares @ 91.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.11
$0.11
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.03
$1.03
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 80.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.34
$0.34
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
8 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.04
$0.04
- NO
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
5 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.78
$0.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$6.00Jun 2, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$20.00Jun 2, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$120.00Jun 2, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$5.02Jun 2, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$5.00Jun 2, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.04Jun 2, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET$2.04Jun 2, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$5.00May 19, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$5.00May 19, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.00May 19, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$8.20May 19, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00May 19, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.00May 19, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00May 19, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$3.76May 19, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$10.00May 19, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.00May 19, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$4.57May 19, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.43May 19, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.04May 19, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".