Whopping-Variation
0xcaca1eca395d72422b315b53867e1742f60fa0b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$11.68
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-4.52
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 7?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$4.96
$0.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 5?
3 shares @ 81.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$3.22
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 7?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$1.24
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on April 6?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.22
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 5?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.04
$0.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
1968 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-924.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
652 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on April 3?
67 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-49.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 3?
55 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-39.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 3?
49 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.18
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$5.12Apr 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?$0.11Apr 3, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$407.12Apr 3, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$554.13Apr 3, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$8.38Apr 3, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.55Apr 3, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$969.00Apr 3, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?$0.04Apr 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$315.58Apr 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$413.65Apr 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?$0.05Apr 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?$0.13Apr 3, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$393.13Apr 3, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$342.89Apr 3, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?$0.01Apr 3, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$759.68Apr 3, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on April 4?$10.93Apr 3, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 7?$11.56Apr 3, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 4?$10.68Apr 3, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $77.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.