Mountainous-Gigantism
0xcacd12f85ff9d4d7e62eb8df28066a1617079845
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$512.92
Total PnL
$-59.55
Realised
$-4.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on March 30?
270 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$270.00
$0.27
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
160 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$140.00
$5.60
- YES
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
183 shares @ 36.3¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$68.73
$2.13
- AC MILAN
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
120 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$34.19
$-1.81
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?
1030 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
939 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
407 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.03
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on December 22?
353 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.77
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 9?
252 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 12?
207 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: AC Milan (-1.5)$36.76May 14, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$58.80May 13, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$135.26May 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$58.80May 9, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$68.72May 8, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on March 30?$269.73Mar 30, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$29.76Mar 28, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$0.45Mar 25, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?$3.09Mar 25, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.35Mar 24, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $140 on February 3?$190.00Mar 18, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$210.00Mar 18, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$16.03Mar 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on February 3?$188.48Jan 31, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manuel João Vieira qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.70Jan 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel João Vieira qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$8.62Jan 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11?$0.84Jan 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11?$1.68Jan 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 12?$7.01Jan 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 12?$2.24Jan 12, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $368.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".