Mountainous-Gigantism
0xcacd12f85ff9d4d7e62eb8df28066a1617079845
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-588.63
Realised
$-18.79
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?
1030 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
939 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
407 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.03
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
360 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-79.20
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on December 22?
353 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.77
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
310 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.00
$-68.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 9?
252 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
250 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.00
$-97.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 12?
207 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.01
- LUCKNOW SUPER GIANTS
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants
190 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-87.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?$8.09Aug 19, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds$220.00Aug 16, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds$112.75Aug 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?$99.88Aug 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?$74.30Aug 15, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$74.57Aug 11, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$130.00Aug 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$69.22Aug 10, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$64.01Aug 9, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers$130.00Aug 5, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers$85.98Aug 4, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$71.92Aug 2, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$218.70Jul 31, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$197.10Jul 30, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$12.89Jul 27, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$131.63Jul 27, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$53.36Jul 2, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$138.38Jun 30, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.00Jun 26, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$295.05Jun 25, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $66.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.