Several-Sun
0xcad346ee6e2616ee08214dca6d7d33594de54a30
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-373.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
63 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-32.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
61 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?
56 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-11.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
41 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$7.37Jul 17, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$7.37Jul 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.33Jul 17, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$20.66Jun 10, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$6.16Jun 10, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$7.16Jun 10, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$34.05Jun 10, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$17.19Jun 10, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.30Jun 10, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.25Jun 10, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.22Jun 10, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$3.59May 19, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.01May 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.06May 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.54May 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$9.36May 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.13May 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.16May 19, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00May 19, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.