Cold-Methodology
0xcadc4b3b795ccb7029e2c6966b1e336d30bb4285
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-764.73
Realised
$25.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
19630 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 28?
4806 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 4?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 18?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
512 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 January 26-1?
445 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 13?
421 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.08
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.01Jun 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$92.09Jun 5, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$90.81Jun 5, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$130.47Jun 5, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$10.38Jun 5, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$68.93Jun 5, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$3.19Jun 5, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.90Jun 5, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.80Jun 5, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$2.70Jun 5, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$10.73Jun 5, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.50Jun 5, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$109.97Jun 1, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$103.99May 29, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$5.67May 29, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$102.17May 29, 10:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.14May 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$37.29May 19, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$36.53May 19, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$100.08May 19, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $63.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".