True-Grand
0xcade04ee569f622f4a3ddafba1f155b56c671ff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.43
Total PnL
$-758.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
671 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-208.15
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?
482 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-105.51
- YES
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03?
281 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-75.91
- YES
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31?
234 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-79.35
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
202 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30?
183 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31?
147 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
137 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nigeria win on 2026-06-03?$23.41Jun 3, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$25.86Jun 3, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$41.72Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.13Jun 3, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$25.45Jun 3, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$26.43Jun 3, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.01Jun 2, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$40.98Jun 2, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$25.69Jun 2, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigeria win on 2026-06-03?$54.16Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guam win on 2026-06-03?$3.09Jun 2, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?$3.08Jun 2, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?$21.38Jun 2, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win on 2026-05-31?$1.03May 31, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win on 2026-05-31?$15.20May 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan win on 2026-05-31?$0.09May 31, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Ryūkyū win on 2026-05-31?$14.98May 31, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win on 2026-05-31?$65.60May 30, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?$3.08May 30, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $23.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".