Belated-Peacoat
0xcae5acf7b3252add2efe9c8b5eb3e3fde2a26e29
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$5.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
17011 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-384.02
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
12775 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-197.92
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
10000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
9800 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-181.53
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
6003 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-240.61
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
5889 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-77.78
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
3674 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-63.12
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
2600 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1060 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-220.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
644 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-96.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$43.96May 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$6.44May 24, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$13.95May 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$0.40May 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$114.45May 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$2.1KMay 23, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$171.16May 23, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.0KMay 23, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 27?$592.93May 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$20.00May 23, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.00May 23, 00:24 UTC
- REWARD$12.35May 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$12.42May 22, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$5.58May 22, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$94.76May 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$2.74May 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$3.90May 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$1.5KMay 22, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$85.36May 22, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$51.33May 22, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $140.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 22:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".