Failing-Equinox
0xcae703741cb19b91282df5dc830a626a6ab8a113
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$240.69
Total PnL
$145.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$192.31
$142.31
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$32.26
$12.26
- NO
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.13
$11.13
- YES
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDiddy found guilty of sex trafficking?$5.00Jun 27, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$50.00Jun 27, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$20.00Jun 27, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$20.00Jun 25, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Jun 25, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Jun 25, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$193.30Jun 25, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEM[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Aug 16, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$10.75Jan 4, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMBinance insolvent in 2023?$54.03Jan 4, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$13.74Oct 1, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus?$3.61Sep 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea?$6.54Sep 5, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump mugshot by Aug 15?$5.62Sep 5, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend?$5.88Aug 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$10.00Aug 5, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBinance insolvent in 2023?$50.00Aug 5, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$10.00Aug 5, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend?$5.00Aug 5, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump mugshot by Aug 15?$5.00Aug 5, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $45.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.