Turbulent-Disagreement
0xcae78c20b574d255d49aa8039fbf0d75985c947c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-15.14
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
1300 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-38.99
- HEAT
Heat vs. Celtics
1200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
1010 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-67.85
- WIZARDS
Spurs vs. Wizards
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-6.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
700 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Pistons
600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Nuggets
600 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Cavaliers
505 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$20.08Apr 10, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$23.43Apr 10, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$31.82Apr 10, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$20.00Mar 8, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.00Mar 7, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$20.00Mar 7, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$10.00Mar 7, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$10.00Mar 7, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.00Mar 7, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$20.00Mar 7, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$13.58Mar 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$10.50Mar 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$20.00Mar 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$20.00Mar 6, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$30.00Mar 6, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$30.00Mar 6, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$40.00Mar 6, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$50.00Mar 6, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$92.99Mar 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$50.00Mar 6, 01:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $44.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 02:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.