Wrathful-Chow
0xcae8daa221013ecd69faff09839b76d5fea9893e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$14.58
Total PnL
$-4.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.15
$0.05
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
4 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.15
$0.05
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- HEAT
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?$3.00Mar 29, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-5.5)$5.20Mar 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.00Jan 31, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$4.10Jan 31, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?$1.00Jan 31, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.10Jan 31, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.