Thrifty-Cranky
0xcaef7a73a23668cd0d1af7eb451a20ba46ba6762
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$29.47
Total PnL
$-25.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?
29 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$29.47
$0.03
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 2, 2026?
4070 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.07
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 February 9-15?
838 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-21.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?$29.44May 22, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$29.76May 21, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$29.73Apr 22, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 13-19?$29.68Apr 21, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 13-19?$29.63Apr 16, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12?$29.61Apr 15, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12?$29.56Apr 9, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 March 23-29?$20.06Mar 30, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 March 23-29?$20.04Mar 27, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 March 16-22?$29.78Mar 26, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 March 16-22?$29.75Mar 20, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 March 2-8?$29.55Mar 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 March 2-8?$29.49Mar 6, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 February 9-15?$21.54Feb 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on February 2, 2026?$4.07Feb 3, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$5.99Feb 2, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?$81.13Feb 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?$81.05Jan 23, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18?$80.50Jan 21, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18?$80.42Jan 16, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $54.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 04:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".