Raw-Speaker
0xcaf96f48837ceb6ebce6e881a63b3b6e3551a8e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$247.47
Total PnL
$2.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
147 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$146.64
$2.64
- NO
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
51 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$50.68
$0.15
- NO
Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
50 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$50.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$50.53Jan 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$50.00Jan 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? $144.00Jan 11, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?$18.09Jan 11, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.83Jan 11, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$25.42Jan 11, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$31.91Jan 11, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$36.23Jan 11, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?$89.29Jan 11, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$22.76Jan 11, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$17.75Nov 5, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$25.00Nov 5, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$15.00Nov 5, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?$17.00Nov 5, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?$75.00Nov 5, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$30.00Nov 5, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Nov 5, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $44.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".