Joyous-Catalyst
0xcaff28ab217406a961a1d5ff1a60dc799998e3ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$57.24
Total PnL
$-5.89
Realised
$-6.03
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
11 shares @ 56.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.22
$3.32
- YES
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
10 shares @ 59.9¢·now 76.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.64
$1.65
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.35
$-0.25
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.35
$-0.15
- YES
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$7.20
$1.00
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$6.30
$-0.40
- NO
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?
10 shares @ 32.3¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.50
$2.27
- NO
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?
10 shares @ 55.5¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.80
$-0.75
- YES
Will Chris Rock attend UFC Freedom 250?
7 shares @ 43.1¢·now 24.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.70
$-1.32
- YES
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?
2 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$6.70Jun 14, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$4.73Jun 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$5.08Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$4.92Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$4.63Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$4.77Jun 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$2.11Jun 13, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$5.10Jun 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$5.57Jun 13, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$3.10Jun 13, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$6.90Jun 13, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$7.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?$5.55Jun 12, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$1.50Jun 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$1.00Jun 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$1.36Jun 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$0.90Jun 12, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$1.00Jun 12, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.67Jun 12, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.83Jun 12, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.