Forsaken-Stomach
0xcb000eefaf7497d3581b6de467d3ca56b1f50b2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-25.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Chainlink reach $20 in March?
740 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$740.22
$0.96
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
530 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$530.00
$0.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
505 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.60
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times August 1–August 8?
390 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.73
- NO
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
344 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$529.47Mar 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink reach $20 in March?$739.26Mar 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$19.60Mar 22, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?$90.40Mar 19, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$540.81Dec 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$537.30Nov 29, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$330.00Nov 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$329.01Nov 20, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$720.00Nov 13, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$719.28Nov 10, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on November 1?$540.00Nov 3, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on November 1?$539.46Oct 31, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?$139.25Oct 28, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $270 September 29-October 5?$250.00Oct 28, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on September 30?$380.25Oct 28, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ben Griffin win the 2025 BMW Championship?$490.00Oct 28, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?$730.00Oct 28, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$4.42Oct 13, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?$29.51Oct 9, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?$119.40Oct 9, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $266.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 31, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.