Useful-Refectory
0xcb05d6fecf69b53c62013e89e786af5342f116fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.87
Total PnL
$-14.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.29
$0.30
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.3¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.03
$-1.97
- YES
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.46Mar 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.16Mar 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.35Mar 17, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2.52Mar 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.03Mar 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.21Mar 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.03Mar 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.26Mar 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.52Mar 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.16Mar 12, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.00Mar 12, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $0.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.