0xcb0ec669669260e52fe5688e0bd70dceacf09234
0xcb0ec669669260e52fe5688e0bd70dceacf09234
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$34.02
Total PnL
$1.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$18.18
$16.18
- MAX HOLLOWAY
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
9 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$6.22
$0.22
- OVER
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$5.36
$2.36
- UNDER
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$4.26
$2.26
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
140 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
73 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5$3.08Jul 10, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$2.04Jul 6, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?$2.06Jul 4, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?$2.06Jul 3, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$6.09Jul 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?$1.03Jun 30, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5$1.03Jun 29, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?$2.06Jun 29, 15:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.02Jun 13, 02:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?$1.03Jun 12, 16:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.