Blaring-Conviction
0xcb0fdca3ea82393cd6a2055836ed327fbfeb2052
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
25140 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-114.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
7492 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-93.15
- NO
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
3614 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-307.67
- YES
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
2030 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.36
- YES
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Be Best" during executive order signing events on November 13?
931 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-217.78
- YES
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
429 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-94.38
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
400 shares @ 71.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-284.40
- NO
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Job" 5+ times during executive order signing events on November 13?
391 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-146.83
- NO
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Foster" 7+ times during executive order signing events on November 13?
336 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-130.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$196.00Dec 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$224.00Dec 4, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $34.01Dec 2, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$60.00Dec 2, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$245.00Nov 30, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$335.00Nov 28, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$264.00Nov 27, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$320.00Nov 27, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$581.62Nov 27, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$120.36Nov 25, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$152.78Nov 25, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$31.90Nov 25, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$205.44Nov 25, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.31Nov 25, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$14.48Nov 25, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$37.30Nov 25, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$163.23Nov 25, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$57.15Nov 25, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$152.40Nov 25, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $128.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 10:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".