Envious-Item
0xcb14d4172cf64b4f4730605c1735c40eb79ee602
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$73.00
Total PnL
$-137.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
73 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$73.00
$29.20
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
184 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-75.44
- DPLUS KIA
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
61 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.08
- AURORA GAMING
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
53 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-34.45
- NO
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?
31 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-21.08
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
26 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.18
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
26 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.68Jul 14, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$36.96Jul 14, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on July 5?$13.03Jul 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.50Jul 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$37.00Jul 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by July 31?$43.43Jul 3, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on July 5?$13.00Jul 3, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by July 31?$0.53Jul 3, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.01Jul 3, 07:12 UTC
- SPLITNetanyahu out by July 31?$44.00Jul 3, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$10.68Jun 23, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$64.87Jun 9, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$0.07Jun 9, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?$16.03Jun 9, 11:17 UTC
- SPLITWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$65.00Jun 9, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$14.40May 25, 05:51 UTC
- MERGEWill Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$825.00May 23, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$26.61May 23, 06:06 UTC
- SPLITWill Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$825.00May 23, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$828.33May 23, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $237.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.