Forsaken-Rancher
0xcb18dfb2dad729e067d064be73b9f545cd1357ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$170.09
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$16.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1165 shares @ 37.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.26
$-279.81
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
524 shares @ 43.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.84
$-212.89
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1741 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-158.19
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
1698 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
1605 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
759 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-259.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
595 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-65.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$58.19Apr 8, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?$58.01Mar 20, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6.00Mar 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.00Mar 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?$10.00Mar 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?$10.00Mar 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?$10.00Mar 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?$10.00Mar 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?$10.00Mar 17, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?$10.00Mar 17, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?$50.00Mar 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?$50.00Mar 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?$100.00Mar 17, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$111.64Mar 1, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$164.52Mar 1, 07:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 1, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$159.00Feb 28, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$85.00Feb 28, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$74.00Feb 28, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$93.13Feb 28, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $65.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".