Simplistic-Adult
0xcb253e940fd7d3e2c21f01f64957171904d41114
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-140.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 May 25-31?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.00
$0.01
- YES
Will the fight be won by submission?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- PANTOJA
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
43 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
38 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Joshua Van win by KO or TKO?
37 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- OVER
O/U 1.5 Rounds
12 shares @ 89.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.75
- OVER
O/U 0.5 Rounds
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 May 25-31?$9.99May 25, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$104.83May 25, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$104.62Apr 22, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix dip to $0 in March?$104.62Apr 22, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix dip to $0 in March?$104.52Mar 17, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple reach $336 in February?$18.69Mar 17, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft reach $533 in February?$25.20Mar 17, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $12 end of February?$27.62Mar 17, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$33.27Mar 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $12 end of February?$27.59Feb 25, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft reach $533 in February?$25.17Feb 25, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple reach $336 in February?$18.67Feb 25, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$33.20Feb 25, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January?$9.26Feb 25, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of January?$12.93Feb 25, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of January?$17.20Feb 25, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?$20.20Feb 25, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the January meeting?$20.72Feb 25, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix dip to $0 in January?$27.00Feb 25, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the January meeting?$20.66Jan 9, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $24.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.