Mindless-Carnival
0xcb28e26138dafdef072bd3bbfcaffdfefbb53750
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$386.79
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
940 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
847 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
483 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
362 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
351 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
346 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 26?
346 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
327 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.92Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.65Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: Any Other Score?$111.00Jul 4, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$26.31Jul 4, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$26.31Jul 4, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$53.33Jul 4, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$26.26Jul 4, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$26.27Jul 4, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$82.93Jul 4, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$25.65Jul 4, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$25.65Jul 4, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$25.65Jul 4, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$21.65Jul 4, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$60.18Jul 4, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$25.47Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$25.49Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$87.65Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$7.45Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.31Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$7.46Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $29.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.