0xcb2c1f7417e55ff82b368672a6c3fa7f2bf3e371
0xcb2c1f7417e55ff82b368672a6c3fa7f2bf3e371
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-36.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 26?
51 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on February 23?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 23?
19 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on February 25?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 25?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 25?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 25?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 26?$1.50Feb 26, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 26?$5.00Feb 25, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 26?$4.00Feb 25, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on February 26?$1.00Feb 25, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 25?$2.00Feb 25, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 25?$1.19Feb 25, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on February 25?$2.00Feb 25, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 26?$1.22Feb 25, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 25?$0.41Feb 25, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 25?$0.18Feb 25, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or higher on February 24?$7.65Feb 25, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.