Spirited-Illusion
0xcb40a4d446e407aef04631db142c0a7698016d62
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.67
Total PnL
$-0.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.14
$0.10
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.09
$0.05
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.09
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.09
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.08
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.07
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.05
$0.02
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.04
$0.03
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?$1.06Jun 10, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?$1.04Jun 10, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?$1.07Jun 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10?$1.04Jun 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 10?$1.06Jun 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?$1.01Jun 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 10?$1.04Jun 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10?$1.03Jun 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.36May 28, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.27May 28, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.07May 28, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.48May 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.07May 28, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.65May 28, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.22May 28, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.04May 28, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.84May 28, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.66May 28, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.61May 28, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.08May 28, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.