Turbulent-Celebrity
0xcb4c32ea10e917e5daac3710c64981aebdb66d64
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-21.7K
Realised
$-239.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
36189 shares @ 24.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.8K
$-5.2K
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
11436 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.3K
$6.63
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
74433 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$186.08
$-13.0K
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
7311 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
2042 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-709.00
- YES
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.0KJun 27, 13:23 UTC
- REWARD$0.32Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.19Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$4.0KJun 26, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.0KJun 26, 06:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.85Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$15.41Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.0KJun 25, 20:07 UTC
- REWARD$21.21Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$167.03Jun 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$2.47Jun 24, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.12Jun 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.62Jun 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$16.69Jun 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.25Jun 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.13Jun 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$696.12Jun 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$54.18Jun 24, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.56Jun 24, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.12Jun 24, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $447.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.