Decisive-Nonbeliever
0xcb5d4a697bf98f3963fefd17e9323ab7e4c788ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-70.25
Win rate
0%
198 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
199 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
199 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
77 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-41.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
72 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-36.24
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
70 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
66 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-31.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
66 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
65 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-32.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
62 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.65
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
51 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.40
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$2.87Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$8.45Jun 25, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$8.71Jun 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$8.98Jun 25, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$12.33Jun 25, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$6.63Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$9.09Jun 24, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$21.46Jun 24, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$11.41Jun 24, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$9.04Jun 24, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$8.06Jun 24, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$7.95Jun 24, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$7.66Jun 24, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$23.10Jun 23, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$12.24Jun 23, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$10.77Jun 23, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.79Jun 23, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$4.69Jun 23, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$4.81Jun 23, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$10.69Jun 23, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
68/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 198 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
198 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 198 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.