Handsome-Indicator-Familiarity
0xcb64f32283825d80eae3e022e145b6052e53ec3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$136.87
Total PnL
$-12.34
Realised
$-13.14
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$73.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in August?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$15.60
$0.40
- NO
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
15 shares @ 85.2¢·now 86.2¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$12.93
$0.15
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
30 shares @ 28.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.47
$3.13
- NO
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
20 shares @ 50.9¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$10.21
$0.03
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
16 shares @ 38.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.97
$-0.25
- YES
Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
19 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.66
$0.19
- NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 3 2026?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$2.36
$0.06
- YES
Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 28.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.03
$0.25
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 Week of August 3 2026?
7 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.81
$-0.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$76.00Aug 3, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?$15.46Aug 3, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?$18.00Aug 3, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$47.00Aug 3, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?$2.47Aug 3, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?$0.78Aug 3, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?$0.33Aug 3, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$8.34Aug 3, 16:36 UTC
- MERGEWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$14.56Aug 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$4.22Aug 3, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$4.67Aug 3, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$5.53Aug 3, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?$17.67Aug 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?$19.23Aug 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?$9.40Aug 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 Week of August 3 2026?$1.47Aug 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $59 Week of August 3 2026?$11.00Aug 3, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in August?$2.94Aug 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in August?$3.08Aug 3, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in August?$15.20Aug 3, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.