Lined-Planter
0xcb65de0de8951e8640ce2288508d7af2ac753f3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$35.71
Total PnL
$-484.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.71
$15.71
- YES
Congressman joins the America Party before August?
376 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?
329 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
235 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?
120 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?
113 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?
105 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$23.53Mar 21, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$20.00Mar 3, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$25.64Feb 24, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1.00Feb 24, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$20.00Jan 23, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$10.83Jan 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$20.00Jan 6, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 6, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$22.76Jan 6, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$62.50Jan 6, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?$20.00Jan 4, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Giants$20.00Jan 4, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$20.00Jan 3, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?$20.00Dec 16, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$28.57Dec 8, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$29.85Dec 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$20.00Nov 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?$30.00Nov 21, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by October 31?$41.67Nov 5, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?$66.93Nov 5, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $21.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 23:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.