Present-Constellation
0xcb65e21cfc32991500ada4fe17a97891cb0d253a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
38 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-17.69
- NO
Iran strike on Israel before November?
29 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Crimean bridge hit before October?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.46Oct 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$5.45Oct 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.23Oct 7, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Oct 7, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$2.00Oct 7, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election scheduled in 2024?$2.05Oct 7, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.00Oct 7, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$2.00Oct 7, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELL10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$0.62Oct 7, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPavel Durov leaves France in 2024?$0.62Oct 7, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by October 31?$0.48Oct 7, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5 released in 2024?$0.80Oct 7, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?$0.29Oct 7, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$0.44Oct 7, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel before November?$5.00Oct 1, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel before November?$2.00Sep 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election scheduled in 2024?$1.00Sep 30, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election scheduled in 2024?$1.00Sep 30, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$1.00Sep 30, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 released in 2024?$1.00Sep 30, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".