Tiny-Query
0xcb672d170975bd43e9438131088b840d7cba20dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$95.70
Total PnL
$-5.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- TOMMY PAUL
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulp
5 shares @ 87.3¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$4.47
$0.47
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 90.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.11
$0.11
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5 shares @ 85.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?
4 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
5 shares @ 88.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
5 shares @ 88.8¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
5 shares @ 80.2¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- SOUTH AFRICA
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)
5 shares @ 73.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
4 shares @ 94.8¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?
4 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMHalle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn$1.41Jun 18, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Czechia (-1.5)$1.01Jun 18, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$1.01Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-18?$1.01Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-18?$1.01Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulp$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 18?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Novak win the 2026 U.S. Open?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Kim win the 2026 U.S. Open?$1.00Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.